Home Forex Gold Price (XAU/USD) Outlook – Looking Over the Edge of a Cliff

Gold Price (XAU/USD) Outlook – Looking Over the Edge of a Cliff

by kyngsam

Gold (XAU/USD) Evaluation, Worth and Chart

  • Gold stays weak to rising US Treasury yields.
  • Retail merchants stay closely lengthy of the dear steel.

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A risky week within the gold area with the dear steel buying and selling between $1,674/oz. and $1,740/ozin a matter of simply 5 days. Each rally and sell-off had been rapidly retraced and the dear steel now sits round $1,700/oz. and is beginning to look weak once more. The motive force for this week’s volatility has come from the US Treasury market the place yields proceed to climb larger, tarnishing the attract of gold.

The day by day chart means that the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement help stage at $1,689/oz. is now not agency help, as a result of gold opening under this stage on Tuesday, leaving a few prior swing lows between $1,660/oz. and $1,670/oz. as a possible help space. Beneath right here the chart suggests the subsequent line of help is again at $1,611/oz. All three easy transferring averages additionally counsel a continued bearish sentiment, and the ‘dying cross’ 50-/200-day sma crossover from January 6 continues to play out. Any bullish transfer ought to discover resistance at $1,741/oz. this week’s excessive print and the 20-day sma.

With US Treasury yields persevering with to edge larger, it’s seemingly that Monday’s multi-month low at $1,674/oz. will likely be examined once more, opening the way in which all the way down to the low $1,600s within the short- to medium-term if Monday’s stage is damaged conclusively.

Moving Averages (MA) Explained for Traders

Gold Each day Worth Chart (July 2020 – March 12, 2021)

Gold Price (XAU/USD) Outlook - Looking Over the Edge of a Cliff

of clients are net long.

of clients are net short.

Change in Longs Shorts OI
Daily -2% -6% -3%
Weekly -1% 14% 0%

Shopper sentiment information present 83.88% of merchants are net-long with the ratio of merchants lengthy to quick at 5.21 to 1. We usually take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the actual fact merchants are net-long suggests Gold costs might proceed to fall. But merchants are much less net-long than yesterday and in contrast with final week. Current modifications in sentiment warn that the present Gold value development might quickly reverse larger regardless of the actual fact merchants stay net-long.

What is Market Sentiment and How Does it Work?

What’s your view on Gold – are you bullish or bearish?? You’ll be able to tell us by way of the shape on the finish of this piece or you’ll be able to contact the writer by way of Twitter @nickcawley1.

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